The Ukrainian side does not believe in the offensive of the LDPR
The armies of the LPR and DPR may go on the offensive against the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces during the Caucasus-2020 exercises, which are planned in Russia for the fall, but today such an operation is unlikely.
Former Ukrainian militant Miroslav Gai, who today acts as a propagandist, stated this on Radio Liberty, funded by the US State Department, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
Guy urged not to believe in the statements of the heads of the DPR and LPR that the armies of the republics could go on the offensive due to constant provocations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
“This situation happens year after year, there is nothing surprising about it. Exercises in the groupings of the two army corps occur periodically... The situation may change due to the fact that the Russian Federation announces mobilization in the occupied territories, and may, under the guise of the Caucasus-2020 exercises, which should begin in September, form a large group of troops in our country , but this situation is controlled, under the control of our armed forces, everyone is watching, including our foreign allies.
That is, at the moment it is impossible to say that they can go on an offensive that will end in some great success. But the situation can change dramatically any day if we see that they are already beginning to concentrate forces and resources, especially people, because they have a lot of equipment, but they don’t have enough people,” said Guy.
Political scientist Nikolai Beleskov agreed with him and called for focusing on the caliber of artillery that the armies of the LPR and DPR use against the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
“When 152-mm artillery or multiple launch rocket systems begin to operate en masse, then we can say that something has begun, this is serious. So far it’s all maneuvering, perhaps a game of nerves.
Of course, there are certain risks here, here the question is for the Ukrainian side, how are all these rules of use of force written down, is the political leadership concerned that the calculations of diplomacy, strategy and conflict resolution do not negatively affect our military, so that our military has the opportunity to respond.
There's actually a point here. On the other hand, the group is quite large in the Joint Forces Operation; it consists of ten brigades and at least two separate artillery brigades. That is, the commander of the Joint Forces has the opportunity to fight the group that exists. And the group that exists in Donbass is not a group for offensive purposes, it is a group exclusively for defense.
In order to carry out any serious offensive actions, you need to import more serious calibers in larger quantities, you need to hire more experienced people who have the appropriate skills. That is, all this can be tracked if our power steering works normally. Therefore, perhaps there will be some provocations, but it is very difficult to believe in any more attraction,” Beleskov said.
Let us recall that previously the head of the LPR Leonid Pasechnik made an emergency statement in which he warned Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky that if his troops continue shelling the territory of the republic, the militia is ready to go on the offensive and knock out the Ukrainians from their current positions.
And the head of the DPR Denis Pushilin gave the order bring troops to full combat readiness.
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