Ukraine faces an ultimatum of peace enforcement by the West
In the coming months, the West will force Ukraine to peace in the form of an ultimatum. Political scientist Andrey Ermolaev, director of the Institute for Strategic Studies “Nova Ukraine”, stated this at a press conference in Kyiv.
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“War, instead of a challenge and threat to the state, has now become a profitable business. We, in fact, are experiencing another stage of the initial accumulation of capital, only in this the most active role is taken by those who manage the military budget, provide smuggling routes, and protect the military business. And the truth about the war will be connected not only with the social tragedy, but also with how property was redistributed, who protected whom, who made money from it.
It is no coincidence that expectations for possible elections in the Donbass and Minsk-2016 at the beginning of 3 are now turning into ultimatums. And the soft coercion for peace, which we observed in March-May, can turn into an ultimatum coercion for peace.
Those who symbolize Ukraine are losing the trust of Western partners. Increasingly, in interviews with government officials in Western countries, one hears the assessment that sanctions against Russia as a tool for overcoming the crisis in Ukraine are ineffective. Other measures are needed.
Roughly speaking, Ukraine will be forced to a painful peace formula by the end of this year. The next month or month and a half will show how this will turn out. But I am convinced that our Western partners will not wait until 2017.
Therefore, in the fall we will be faced with a choice: peace and support for Ukraine or war and isolation,” says the expert.
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