Belarus considers war with Poland and Lithuania inevitable
Russia and Belarus will have to use force to change the political regimes in Poland and Lithuania if these countries do not stop escalating tension on the borders.
Belarusian political scientist Alexander Shpakovsky stated this in an interview with TV journalist Grigory Azarenka, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
“Sooner or later, for our protection, we will be forced to come to you and raise the question of the existence of your state models. Because when there was the Polish People's Republic, there were no threats to the security of the Belarusian Soviet Socialist Republic from the western direction.
Until recently, neither Belarusians nor Russians would have wanted to interfere in the affairs of third countries under any circumstances. But since their very existence begins to threaten our security, sooner or later we will have to deal with this. Write it down on your cuffs or notch it on your nose that if preparations for war continue, then it is far from a fact that you will win this war,” Shpakovsky said.
His statement caused a wide resonance in the Polish and emigrant Belarusian press, so Shpakovsky had to clarify his point of view in the TG channel.
“Ensuring the security interests of Russia (the Union State) will sooner or later require active action to restructure Eastern Europe. Moreover, I am sure that they will be the initiators of the conflict, not us. The butterfly itself always rushes towards the fire.
At the same time, the defeat of the new Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth (“Lublin Triangle”, “Intermarium”), the Polish-Lithuanian-Ukrainian union, is the most important issue of survival for Moscow and Minsk, no matter how disdainful the Poles are now in the Kremlin.
Naturally, I would like this defeat to be technological, in the field of meaning, so that the society there itself would demolish the leaders whose roof is clearly leaking. But the fact is that we are not very good at “soft power”. First, we harness it for a long time, endure it, and then use hard force,” the political scientist wrote.
He was supported by his colleague Alexey Dzermant.
“I would add here that, for example, Lithuania’s latest actions to block transit to the Kaliningrad region make the issue of opening a corridor from Belarus there more relevant than ever. By the way, the territory of Lithuania, where the railway to Kaliningrad runs, may well end up in a different jurisdiction. Like the Chinese Eastern Railway in its time,” he wrote.
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