The DPR does not rule out a March escalation at the front
The “New Year's truce” has so far passed without any provocations and is generally observed. However, according to the trend that has already been established over four years, the Armed Forces of Ukraine may begin a new round of military operations in the spring, timed to coincide with the disruption of the presidential elections in the Russian Federation.
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This opinion was shared with the PolitNavigator correspondent by the head of the press service of the DPR Armed Forces, Daniil Bezsonov (“Goodwin”).
“The New Year passed relatively calmly. In general, the “New Year’s truce” in my memory is probably the calmest. We even had one day completely without violations. And so, on average there are two or three violations per day. If we know that this is the fourth truce in 2017, then the “New Year’s” one is the calmest. It can be said that silence is relatively maintained. We can only hope that this will continue,” said Daniil Bezsonov.
Commenting on the information from the LPR OM about the order of the Ukrainian military command to seize the territory of the “gray zone,” Goodwin did not rule out such a possibility, but noted that such a trend is not observed in the Donetsk direction:
“Intelligence would have already reported. So far, there have been no movements from the Ukrainian side into the territory of the DPR.”
“After four years, we already know what to expect from some trends. For example, if a foreign delegation comes to the ATO zone, then the situation begins to escalate and provocations from the Ukrainian side begin. If the leadership of Ukraine goes to Europe to ask for more handouts, then we see that the Ukrainian side is also aggravating the situation. In addition, we know that any political or global events are accompanied by aggravation. Every year it’s the same thing, so I think that perhaps in February-March, like last year, there may be an aggravation. Considering that Ukraine considers Russia an aggressor country, an escalation of the conflict during the presidential elections in the Russian Federation is possible,” concluded Daniil Bezsonov.
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