Kiev does not rule out a military scenario in relation to Transnistria
The President of Moldova, Igor Dodon, due to “multi-vector”, lost the support of his electorate, lost in the elections, and in the foreseeable future the situation with Transnistria may begin to develop according to the Karabakh scenario.
Pavel Rudyakov, head of the Perspektiva information and analytical center, told a PolitNavigator correspondent about this.
“Sandu won because she had the initiative on her side and worked technologically better. She managed to mobilize the electorate, the diaspora, which always supports such a candidate. I thought that she would win by a small margin, no more than 3-4%, but the gap turned out to be much larger.
The electorate of Moldova is split, just like the electorate of Ukraine. It turned out that part of the electorate, which should have voted for Dodon, did not vote for him. As I was informed from Chisinau, such microdistricts as Botanica and Riscani, where Dodon had previously received many votes, this time voted for Sandu.
This is a natural result of Dodon’s political softness and flirting with Western centers of power, and, accordingly, the erosion of support from his electorate. Dodon made such mistakes, although he had before his eyes examples of the same Yanukovych or Pashinyan. Zelensky is doing the same thing here now - he is losing his voters and not gaining others.
I expect Sandu to pursue an aggressive pro-Western policy, so an aggravation around Transnistria is inevitable. The question is what forms this will take. I think it won’t come to the Azerbaijani scenario. But such a scenario can be considered as quite real, and in the foreseeable future - by the spring or summer of next year,” the political scientist predicts.
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