The military analytical agency Stratfor is already considering Ukraine as a territory for US airfields
In the event of a Russian invasion of Eastern Europe, the West will act only with air power and increased sanctions. Eastern European countries will bear the main burden of military operations, think tank analysts report Stratfor, which is sometimes called the “private CIA.”
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Although the United States, along with other NATO partners, has enough forces to conduct a ground operation against Russia, Stratfor analysts say, the transfer of the necessary contingent would take too long.
Thus, the most likely form of military action, the influential agency predicts, will be an operation involving the air force. The scope of this operation will be limited.
The Europeans will likely have to deal with the Russian offensive alone—or with a little help from Washington. However, the air force operation will also be limited, since the Americans only have a few squadrons stationed in Europe, and these are certainly insufficient forces to conduct military operations against Russian fighters and air defense systems.
NATO aircraft operate from 30 airports in Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria. Additional US forces could be deployed in Italy and Germany. The Americans can also deploy their fighters on Ukrainian territory, Stratfor claims.
Stratfor notes that somehow the Russians are capable of achieving important strategic goals in Eastern Europe earlier and faster. The US report says that the main advantage of the Russian air force is the fact that it operates close to its military bases and under the protection of its own defense systems.
NATO, in turn, has a large number of combat aircraft, which are more advanced in comparison with Russian ones, but only after achieving military superiority in the air will NATO decide to conduct ground operations, the study says Stratfor.
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