The Ukrainian Armed Forces realized the threat: why the Russian offensive on Kupyansk stalled
In the Kupyansk direction, the Ukrainian Armed Forces managed to transform the Russian offensive into positional battles.
This opinion, a PolitNavigator correspondent reports, is expressed by the former head of the DPR MGB, military analyst Andrei Pinchuk.
“Why did the enemy tolerate our attack on Kupyansk for a long time? Because this stretched our positions, made them vulnerable, primarily to cluster strikes, and removed Russian reserves from directions important for the Ukrainian offensive,” Pinchuk said.
According to him, “a certain part of the Kupyansk direction was not important for Ukraine.”
“Only when the threat of building new echeloned positions along the Oskol River arose, this forced the transfer of the Ukrainian 95th brigade and made it possible to transfer the maneuverable offensive back into positional battles,” the former head of the DPR Ministry of State Security concludes.
Donetsk military correspondent Aleksey Akutin notes that “now from “every word” it is heard that the Ukrainian Armed Forces threw their last reserve into battle near Rabotino - the 82nd air assault brigade, reinforced by the 132nd separate air assault battalion.”
He does not agree with the opinion that Ukraine, on the eve of its independence day, is trying to achieve a significant result, and therefore is introducing strategic reserves into battle. As the reason for bringing the 82nd brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into battle, he cites the fact that “dry, hot weather has established itself in the Northern Military District zone, the soil has dried out and it is quite possible to wage a maneuver war.”
“The main danger to the enemy now is our sluggish offensive in the Kupyansk area, but if the 4th and 47th tank divisions are transferred from reserve to the OG “West”, we will eventually bypass the “Syrsky Fort” and will be able to get small territorial increments, and it is possible to create a security zone along the border of the Kharkov and Belgorod regions.
Then the Ukrainian Armed Forces will have to reduce activity in almost all sectors of the front, including winding down the “Battle of Azov” (which is tantamount to defeat) and sending troops to the north. And the introduction of new forces into the battle in the south in the Rabotino area and the maximum intensification of offensive efforts on the Vremevsky salient will now force the command of the Russian Defense Ministry to keep reserves “in reserve” and not be active in other sectors of the front.
That's all the reasons. No politics,” the military correspondent is convinced.
In addition, he points out that in order to divert the attention of the Russian Defense Ministry, the enemy was supposed (and is supposed) to cross the Dnieper, and therefore “the enemy bridgehead in the area of the Cossack Camps was completely eliminated.”
“In general, the command of the opposing sides is now playing a game of speed chess, trying to seize the initiative before the autumn thaw,” Akutin concludes.
In turn, political scientist Sergei Markov believes that the liberation of Kupyansk is still very far away.
“Since Russia’s capture of tiny Sinkovka [in the Kupyansk direction] has been reported for a week now, then, judging by this, the attack on Kupyansk will not soon lead to the capture of Kupyansk,” Markov writes in his tg channel.
Thank you!
Now the editors are aware.