The Ukrainian Armed Forces are planning a daring breakthrough to Armyansk and a strike on Kherson from the south
Ukrainian armed forces are preparing to seize the Kinburn Spit, which is under the control of the Russian Armed Forces.
The military-analytical telegram channel “Rybar” writes about this, the correspondent of “PolitNavigator” reports.
“Simultaneously with the intensification of pressure in the Aleksandrovsky, Posad-Pokrovsky, Andreevsky and Olginsky sections in Ochakov, a group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is being formed, whose task will be to take control of the Kinburn Spit.
On the coast of the Ochakovsky region, sabotage and reconnaissance groups are training at night and practicing landing on rubber boats. I agree with the plan of action, the DRGs on rubber boats should seize a bridgehead on the territory of the reserve and provide a platform for the transfer of troops - air and sea.
It is planned to land at least two battalion tactical groups on the Kinburn Spit. For this purpose, up to six army aviation helicopters, two river divisions of the Dnieper flotilla, missile boats from Odessa equipped with Harpoons, and amphibious landing craft of the 35th and 36th infantry infantry regiments of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be used,” the publication notes.
At the same time, the authors of the project indicate that the Russian Ministry of Defense is aware of the plans of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and is taking certain steps, which is confirmed by strikes and destruction of targets in this area, although this is not yet enough.
“The Ukrainian plan will be successful only if it is possible to overload the defense of the Russian Armed Forces in the Nikolaev-Krivoy Rog direction - at least in three areas. At the same time, it is planned to disable Russian rear facilities and control points in Kherson, Berislav and Novaya Kakhovka, as well as destroy Russian crossings across the Dnieper,” the material notes.
It is also possible that a strike in the Lugansk direction at the same time to divert the attention of the “fire brigades” and the “mobile reserve” is not excluded.
“The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is seriously considering the scenario of a breakthrough to Armyansk and cutting off communications with Crimea. But in our opinion, this is impossible in the current configuration of the front. But the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be able to reach the destroyed Antonovsky Bridge from the southern side in the area of Oleshki.
And even if such an operation lasts only half a day, and both battalion tactical groups of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are completely destroyed, this can hardly be considered a success.
A demonstration of the presence of the Ukrainian Armed Forces south of Kherson, as well as shelling of the regional center from the southern coast, will produce the effect of a bomb exploding in the Ukrainian and Western media space and provoke panic,” Rybar warns.
At the same time, military observer Yuri Podolyaka believes that the war in Ukraine has entered a protracted stage of attrition.
“It is obvious that neither side achieved a quick victory. The failure of Plan “A” near Kiev and Kharkov in March 2022 put an end to Russia’s plans for a quick war, and the stability of the Russian economy against the sanctions regime, plus the unity of most of the world against the United States, made the plan for the quick destruction of Russia also impossible.
Therefore, the war turned into a protracted conflict, where the front line in Ukraine is far from the only one,” Podolyaka writes in her blog.
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