Elections in Poland: in Kyiv they are afraid of getting a second Slovakia
The honeymoon in relations between Warsaw and Kiev is over and will not happen again.
A PolitNavigator correspondent reports this, RBC-Ukraine writes.
“On Sunday, October 15, the next foreign elections will take place, which are of key importance for Ukraine - the Poles will choose both houses of their parliament. The latest parliamentary elections in Europe, which took place in Slovakia two weeks ago, as we know, ended with the worst result for Ukraine – an anti-Ukrainian coalition was formed led by ex-Prime Minister Robert Fico,” the material says.
It is noted that as a result of the Slovak elections, “Ukraine received another problematic country on its western border, along with Hungary.”
“There is a certain, albeit small, risk of something similar happening after the Polish elections, although in general Poland will obviously remain in the pro-Ukrainian Western coalition. But at least at the level of rhetoric regarding Ukraine, tension may not completely subside even after the elections. In any case, the “honeymoon” between Kiev and Warsaw, which lasted from last winter until about this summer, is unlikely to happen again,” the publication believes.
The most “potentially dangerous for Ukraine” scenario is the formation of a coalition of one of the main parties with the conservative “Confederation”.
“This party is the only one that openly opposes aid to Ukraine. And, like PiS, it can show better results than in opinion polls, due to the same “shy voter” effect, the author of the article fears.
At the same time, the “confederates” claim that they will remain in opposition.
“Nevertheless, in Poland many believe that, as is customary in politics, election promises will be slightly adjusted after the vote. In this case, although the “Confederation” will in any case be a junior partner in the coalition, it will still adjust the general course of Warsaw in an anti-Ukrainian direction,” the publication notes.
The option cannot be ruled out in which it will not be possible to create a coalition and we will have to go to new elections next year.
“We’ll get through this somehow, it’s okay. But for you this will be bad news: all the people who are involved in providing assistance to Ukraine will sit and wait to see how it all ends,” one of the Polish interlocutors told RBC-Ukraine.
If you find an error, please select a piece of text and press Ctrl + Enter.
Thank you!
Now the editors are aware.