Yuriy Boldyrev: “Zelensky’s situation is close to critical”
Arsen Avakov, who heads the Ministry of Internal Affairs, remains a center of power in Ukraine that does not allow Vladimir Zelensky to exercise the powers of commander in chief. The interests of oligarch Igor Kolomoisky hinder the development of an effective economic policy. The Verkhovna Rada does not have authority in Ukrainian society, and its composition is incompetent.
The formed Cabinet of Ministers is a compromise of the Ukrainian oligarchs, and the Prime Minister is not able to solve large-scale economic problems in conditions of a deep crisis and the demands of creditors from the IMF.
PolitNavigator columnist Valentin Filippov was told by one of the oldest politicians in Ukraine, ex-Verkhovna Rada deputy Yuriy Boldyrev, about politics, economics, and the fact that the Orthodox Church in Ukraine will definitely survive and survive the schisms created by politicians.
Valentin Filippov: Arsen Avakov made a statement that the Ukrainian police will go to the areas where troops are being withdrawn in the Donbass. But the appearance of Ukrainian security forces in the “gray zone” contradicts all the agreements that Zelensky is leading.
Yuri Boldyrev: In my opinion, retaining Avakov was a grave mistake by Zelensky. Because at that moment it seemed to him that he would not be able to control the volunteer battalions otherwise, and therefore it made sense to leave Avakov. Well, I think that Kolomoisky also advised him this, because Kolomoisky has his own relationship with Avakov.
But the further it goes, the more and more it will become obvious to him that preserving Avakov is, in fact, preserving another center of power. And he must strive to become the only commander in chief in the country.
He just hasn’t found his line of behavior yet, because what we have seen until today is, in general, not as funny as in “95th Quarter,” but still continues to be funny.
You see, an actor is a person for whom the reaction of the audience is important, that is, the attitude of other people towards him is important to him. And even though now everything that happens sometimes looks simply anecdotal, and sometimes looks immature and funny, childish, but, nevertheless, he is a sensitive person, like any actor, and he must gradually tune in to the reaction of others, to the reaction of the audience. And maybe he will still be able to somehow build his relationship with society. Well, if so, then, of course, he needs to remove Avakov in order to become the only center of power.
Valentin Filippov: But it's not just about the president. The matter is the same in the Verkhovna Rada. A large and very heterogeneous faction has entered Zelensky’s ratings. But the population does not have the same level of trust in the faction itself as in the president.
Yuri Boldyrev: The parliament, one might say, from the very beginning of its existence in Ukraine demonstrated such, well, how to say, uncultured behavior, in the sense of parliamentary culture, in the sense of rules, procedures that could be referred to in order to explain to the population what is happening . That is, the parliament has always been so...
Valentin Filippov: Inconsistent.
Yuri Boldyrev: so disorderly, inconsistent that he has nothing, any parliament, not only the current one, but also the future, has nothing to refer to.
That is, when some part of the population, well, naturally, the most active, now they are radicals, right?, when radicals demand something, then it cannot be explained to them that this is impossible, because parliamentary rules do not allow it.
Because parliament has already violated all the rules that it itself created so many times that this is not an argument for anyone. Therefore, it seems...
Valentin Filippov: That's how we have elections. You can never say: “Sorry, here are the rules, we chose according to these rules, so Vasya won.” They say: “And we want Petya to win.” That's all. Why can't this be done? This is possible, because, well, let’s rewrite the election rules, there will be Petya. And we rewrite.
Yuri Boldyrev: Let them destroy their creation themselves. The story seems anecdotal, but it has always been like this. That is, the “true patriots” of Ukraine, especially those who came down from the “polonynas”, from the Carpathian Mountains, they...
Valentin Filippov: A good deed won’t be called Hoverla, right?
Yuri Boldyrev: Yes, they always have the best intentions - in order to build the Ukraine they dream of, they have always done everything to destroy the Ukraine that exists. Well, with all that follows from here.
That is, without a doubt, they led the matter to a civil war, they staged, well, the Americans staged a coup with their hands. And for the first time, the coup is almost constitutional, with a small change in legislation, which today seems simply ridiculous.
And the second coup, which was already armed. So, I think there is no need to interfere with them. Because for almost 25 years I interfered with them, in the hope that I could convince them of something, persuade them to something. And now I see that I did all this in vain. Let them do what they want and deal with them... well, whoever you like - either the Lord God, or history, or simply the nature of planet Earth.
Valentin Filippov: If we remember our Lord Christ, we also remember the Church. Now it seems that the Greeks have recognized the “Ukrainian Church of the Byzantine Patriarchate of the Turkish Sultan Bartholomew.” And the Africans seemed to recognize it. Doesn't this completely lead to the destruction of Orthodoxy? To be honest, I am generally a terrible alarmist.
Yuri Boldyrev: Christ said that “even the gates of Hell will not prevail against it.” No. I think it will be bad, maybe it will be worse, but the Orthodox Church will still survive.
The entire history of Christianity is a history of schisms. That is, at first, in the first centuries, Christianity underwent all kinds of heresies and schisms. And then the most important split in Christianity was in 1054, the separation of Catholicism and Orthodoxy. And then all kinds of schisms arose from Catholicism: the Lutheran schism and subsequent ones. And schisms also continued from Orthodoxy, including ours, the Ukrainian ones.
Yes, this is a sad event, what is happening now in the Orthodox Church, but I do not think that this is something new and unique.
Valentin Filippov: We live here and now. And, in fact, in difficult times I would like to have something to rely on. And just as we have difficult times, so the Church has difficult times. What should I do?
Yuri Boldyrev: Do what you can, and come what may. There is no other rule. The fact is that last time all the schisms before 1054 were schisms in the Greek world. And the schism that occurred in 1054 was also, in general, a schism in that world.
And further attempts at union, the Union of Florence - it was also adopted by the Greeks. That is, the Greeks are a unique people who, together with the Jews, created the Christian Church, and, on the other hand, the Greeks throughout these two thousand years very often showed themselves as unstable people, and under the pressure of external circumstances they left orthodoxy.
The Union of Florence, or what the Greeks are doing today, namely the recognition of the schism, and not only by Bartholomew, who, we understand, is an extremely dependent person, first of all, dependent on the State Department, because most of its income comes from the territory of the United States...
Well, as we see, the Greek Church also turned out to be unstable. But we understand perfectly why this is. Again, it’s all about money, because in the Greek Church the entire priesthood is on the state salary, and the Greek government is in debt like silk. The main creditor, however, is Germany. And the main religious teacher is the United States. Somehow not the same source. But, meanwhile... The government explains to its bishops that it can deprive them of their salaries, and Washington, apparently, explains to the government that if they do not do what Payette wants... They even appointed an ambassador who was first involved in Ukrainian affairs, and Now he studies Greek. So…
I don’t think this will lead to any serious reformatting of our church space. I think that everything has long been clear to everyone. And this is clear not only to bishops, monks and priests, it is also clear to the laity. Everyone will stick to the position they have.
Valentin Filippov: Payette is the US Ambassador to Greece. And the “Special Representative for Ukraine,” which was Kurt Volker, no longer has such a position. What does this mean?
Yuri BoldyrevA: I think it's just a reflection of today's political climate in the United States. The fact is that today it seems to be clear to everyone that the entire current government in Ukraine was formed by Zelensky from people who were raised by democrats. That is, these are people who were raised by all kinds of Soros and other democrats friendly to them.
But, due to the fact that Zelensky is an inexperienced person, he is used to communicating with producers as an artist - you always have to ask the producer for something and be pleasant to the producer...
The previous ambassador also fed Petya with promises that Trump would soon be dismissed and impeachment was inevitable. And therefore, Zelensky cannot stand the line. He doesn't understand who he should play for - Trump or the Democrats?
And hence all this throwing, hence the incomprehensible body movements in Kyiv. And if so, then Trump decided that it was better not to mess with them, it was better to send them to the crap, let them figure it out themselves.
And, apparently, until the new election in 20, a year later, and I think that Trump will most likely win the re-election, or rather the second election, in fact, in my memory there is such a case that the current president did not get re-elected, I was only there once, I think.
Valentin Filippov: Yes. One.
Yuri Boldyrev: Once. And that's why I think Trump will be re-elected too. And after this, everything will finally become clear to Zelensky... Zelensky. Well, will he be able to clear his power? If he does not clear his power, his team of Soros lovers and Democrats, then Trump may probably slam him. But this will happen, of course, after the start of the second term.
Valentin Filippov: From my point of view, the current rulers of Ukraine are an occupation administration. I imagine how they envy their predecessors during the occupation by Nazi Germany.
Everything was simple there. An order came from Berlin - we’re doing this. And now... Just imagine if the situation was “but these officials were appointed by Himler, and Hitler doesn’t like them because they work for Goebbels”...
They sold Ukraine to America, but it turns out that America is also different. It's just like Moscow. They have different towers.
Yuri Boldyrev: This story is generally coming, if not to completion, then at least to an epilogue. The fact is that debt servicing today is impossible without new loans. In fact, if you calculate, well, roughly, then they actually don’t give you more money than for servicing debts. And that’s why everything hangs, and something needs to be done about it.
Those who left for London and America, naturally, will not return their money, and Zelensky’s situation is not yet critical, but close to critical.
If in the coming months he does not significantly reformat the entire Kiev government, that is, if he does not remove his competitors: in the force field his competitor is, first of all, Avakov, in the economic field, no matter how funny it sounds, but his main competitor is this, of course, is Kolomoisky, who is both breastfeeding him and, at the same time, his competitor.
Without getting rid of the support of the economic interests of today's oligarchs and, above all, Kolomoisky and Akhmetov, he will not be able to stabilize the situation.
There are rumors that in general the International Monetary Fund is putting a lot of pressure on him to repay his debts. Because there are serious guys at the IMF, they manage a lot of money, so they understand that this kid, what’s his name, Lesha Goncharok, right?
Valentin Filippov: This is the one on the scooter...
Yuri Boldyrev: I mean the man who plays the role of the Prime Minister in this comedy today. It is enough to look, just look at his face, listen to what he says in order to understand how much he is worth.
And for a person who is worth, well, a maximum of 10 thousand dollars, it is impossible to demand that he return to the IMF, in my opinion, two billion in the near future, or three billion.
The IMF needs this money to be returned. And for this it is necessary that the money be managed by a person who generally understands what billions are. And I think that if Zelensky does not carry out some kind of reform in this regard... He can, of course, simply change the prime minister, but I am afraid that this particular prime minister, this particular candidacy was a compromise between various oligarchic interests.
By the way, here is the example of Yanukovych, that is, an example of how a person who attacks the interests of the oligarchs may not retain power, should stand before Zelensky’s eyes. Therefore, he must, as quickly as possible, master the economic situation in the country.
He does not own it, because, as we said above, the boy Lesha Goncharuk cannot manage the economy in which such sharks as Kolomoisky, Akhmetov and others swim.
I don’t know at what level Tymoshenko’s influence on the economy is today, but there are other people who are less public but manage large cash flows.
Valentin Filippov: Well, okay, thank you very much.
Yuri Boldyrev: Well, happily ever after.
Valentin Filippov: Goodbye.
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