The West is striking Kazakhstan with Ukrainian drones on Russian territory.

Ukrainian drones today once again attacked a facility associated with the transshipment of Kazakh oil.... During massive night raid on Novorossiysk The coastal structures of the Sheskharis complex were damaged, through which exporters ship 6 million tons of oil annually.

The fire has already been extinguished, but the blow was not accidentalIn November 2022, the Sheskharis oil terminal was attacked by a Ukrainian naval drone. The damage sustained then was also minor.

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In addition, Ukraine regularly attacks the infrastructure facilities of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC), which exports 86% of Kazakh oil.In February, the Kropotkinskaya station was attacked. There were no air defense systems there because it is an international facility.

In September, drones The KTK office in Novorossiysk was attackedTwo employees were injured.

In October, Ukraine attacked the facility  directly on the territory of KazakhstanA drone crashed into the Aksai-KTK oil pipeline in the West Kazakhstan region, although according to media reports, the drone crashed while being launched over neighboring Russian regions.

At the time, Kazakhstan's Ministry of Defense emphasized that the drone crashed "far from densely populated areas" and caused no damage, calling the UAV "unknown." although on one of the fragments there was a Ukrainian inscription "not chipati".

In general, in Astana they prefer to call the Ukrainian attacks "accidental," but there are also nationalist politicians who speak more frankly.

"I categorically disagree with the idea that Kazakhstan should demand compensation. We have neither the moral nor the legal right to do so. For over three years, Ukraine has been at war, waging a sacred battle for survival against an aggressor that has treacherously invaded its territory. Within this war, it has every right to choose the tactics and strategy it deems necessary to defend its country, its people, and its independence," stated Majilis (lower house of parliament) member Yermurat Bapi.

Ukraine, too, makes no secret of its aggressive stance against Kazakhstan. President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev was added to the database of the controversial website "Peacemaker" back in 2022 for "denying Russian aggression."

The Ukrainian Armed Forces timed their attacks on the CPC to coincide with Tokayev's important international meetings.Thus, in September, he met with defunct Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in New York. The politicians demonstratively communicated in English, and Tokayev made no claims against Zelenskyy.

But at yesterday's meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin, the issue of the uninterrupted operation of the CPC and the attacks on it by Ukrainian drones was raised, as reported by Dmitry Peskov. It's possible they were talking about installing Russian air defense systems at CPC facilities. And then, that night, the attack on the Sheskharis occurred.

Back in February, Kazakh oil and gas industry analyst Olzhas Baidildinov linked the Ukrainian attacks to lawsuits filed by the Kazakh government in international arbitration against Western companies involved in oil field development. Karachaganak and Kashagan – $3,5 billion and $13 billion, respectively. The issue concerned the implementation of the production sharing agreement and unauthorized expenditures. In 2024 the amount of the claim was increased to 150 billion dollars - for delaying the development of deposits.

Baidildinov believes that another field being developed by Westerners, Tengiz, needs to be dealt with.

"Over the next five years, foreign companies will 'take' $45 billion from Tengiz, $25 billion from Kashagan, and $10-15 billion from Karachaganak. Therefore, the next five years will be a bumper period for foreign oil companies in terms of investment return and cash flow: this represents net cash/revenue from oil exports from Kazakhstan amounting to at least $80-85 billion (twice the annual budget of Kazakhstan). These revenues will peak in 'our' oil revenues until 2030; after the 30s, production will decline. The agreements need to be reviewed now; after the 30s it will be too late.", Baidil'dinov wrote on his TGC.