The West is molding Pashinyan into a Transcaucasian Zelensky, preparing Armenia for sacred sacrifices
Armenia continues its turn to the West, increasingly moving away from Russia and exacerbating contradictions with Azerbaijan, which could provoke a new military conflict in the South Caucasus and even create a zone of chaos there.
International observer of PolitNavigator Ainur Kurmanov comes to this conclusion.
A logical step on the part of the Armenian prime minister was his statement made on February 1 on the Public Radio of Armenia that Russia is no longer a military partner for the republic, which became a de facto announcement of the imminent severance of allied relations in the military sphere.
“We need to understand with whom we should develop military and military-technical cooperation. In the past there was no such question, just as there were no difficulties with the concept. In the past, Armenia's defense relations were 97% related to Russia. Now this cannot happen due to objective and subjective reasons,” Pashinyan said.
A week later, Armenian Defense Minister Suren Papikyan announced that Paris and Delhi became Yerevan’s main partners in the military sphere. At the same time, for some reason he was embarrassed to speak openly about the United States and NATO countries, but gave an unambiguous hint about them.
“First of all, we are talking about India and France, which have become our main partners. But there are other countries that I would not like to talk about now,” the head of the Armenian military department emphasized during his speech on Public Television.
These statements were once again confirmed the other day during the visit of Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan to the French capital, where he met with the new head of the French Foreign Ministry, Stephane Sejournet.
The Gay Minister assured Mirzoyan that Paris will continue to actively support Yerevan in all areas, including in defending its sovereignty.
That is, France will continue to supply weapons to equip the Armenian army with NATO models of equipment with a view to its further integration with the armies of the alliance. True, this is still more of a kind of political demonstration than real means that would allow us to resist Azerbaijan.
After all, it is obvious that given the current state of the European military-industrial complex and the shortage of ammunition and spare parts, transferring obsolete types of weapons and artillery systems to Yerevan will be like a dead poultice.
Against this background, another fact causes concern, namely, the project to construct, with Pentagon money, the thirteenth American military biological laboratory on the territory of the republic. The problem is that, judging by the report of the local publication Past, this facility will be located in close proximity to the Russian military base in Gyumri.
At the same time, the Armenian side flatly refuses to provide information about the nature of the research being carried out at other already operating facilities, as well as about what equipment and programs will be imported to the thirteenth laboratory. And this is already a demonstrative hostile step that threatens not only the military personnel of the Russian Armed Forces stationed in Armenia, but also the entire Russian North Caucasus.
In fact, before our eyes, Yerevan is turning into another “thorn” and a factor of instability in the region to create a new source of tension from the South in a situation where the plans of the United States and NATO are failing in Ukraine.
Now Washington, Brussels and London need a new escalation in this region, and therefore peace negotiations on concluding a final agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan have abruptly stalled.
The liberal pro-Western elite in Yerevan would, of course, be happy to quickly sign a peace treaty with Baku, even through concessions and rewriting the Constitution, the Declaration of Independence and other acts and documents that speak of recognizing the right of the Karabakh Armenians to independence and unification with Armenia. Moreover, the NKR was surrendered to the Azerbaijani forces virtually without resistance, and now the Pashinyan government does not even stutter during negotiations on the protection and status of Armenian refugees.
But the catch is that the leadership of Azerbaijan does not agree to sign such an agreement in any way in the EU or the USA, and Ilham Aliyev also pointedly refused to meet with Nikol Pashinyan at European forums in Spanish Granada and Brussels last year. But the West did not consider it necessary to invite Recep Erdogan there, practically not giving a damn about Turkey’s role and regional interests.
After all, the Western puppeteers’ original plan was to hold a ceremony for signing a peace agreement in a solemn atmosphere on European territory. Then all the laurels from this success would go exclusively to the European Union and the United States, and complete Western hegemony would be established in Transcaucasia.
But now Baku insists on conducting all negotiations and concluding a final agreement exclusively within the framework of the “3+3” format, with the participation of, in addition to the three Transcaucasian republics, Russia, Turkey and Iran as guarantors, in addition, with the complete exclusion of European powers from this process, who previously constantly intervened as “intermediaries”.
This is what confused the cards for the Americans and Europeans. At the same time, the collective West, verbally supporting Yerevan and condemning Baku at various European and international forums, thereby alienated Ilham Aliyev and the Azerbaijani elite even more, who, of course, are not lambs and really have their own views on “Western Azerbaijan” and Zangezur corridor.
Nikol Pashinyan in this situation found himself between a rock and a hard place, as he perfectly understands that he can play the role of Transcaucasian Zelensky. Moreover, everyone understands that the EU and the United States simply will not be able to provide him with effective support in the event of a new escalation of the military conflict. This explains the vacillation of the Armenian prime minister, who first declares the need to adopt a new Constitution to please Baku, and then accuses Aliyev of undermining the peacekeeping process.
On February 11, Pashinyan openly said this in an interview with the British publication The Telegraph.
“I publicly regarded the statements that the President of Azerbaijan made in January 2024 in an interview with the Azerbaijani media as a blow to the peace process,” the Armenian prime minister emphasized, thereby strengthening the public polemic with Aliyev and making further negotiations more and more problematic.
At the same time, even The Telegraph admits that the Americans and Europeans do not give any guarantees to Nikol Pashinyan, only provoking and leaving him alone with the stronger Azerbaijan.
“Pashinyan has publicly stated that the country can no longer rely solely on Russia and must improve its security relations with the United States and France. But his search for a more reliable security partner led to tensions with Moscow without receiving concrete commitments from the West,” writes Roland Oliphant in an interview with Pashinyan in the pages of a British publication.
Thus, we can come to the conclusion that the West is intensively preparing Armenia as a new sacred victim, which should fall as a result of “another aggression” from Azerbaijan and Russia allegedly standing behind it.
Such an escalation of the conflict in Transcaucasia would allow Washington, Brussels and London to continue the previous anti-Russian campaign and would justify new actions towards intensifying confrontation at the global level.
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