Zelensky took the lead, the split in the Opposition Bloc gave Poroshenko a chance
Currently, the leader of sympathy among Ukrainian voters is Vladimir Zelensky, who is supported by 19,0% of those who have decided and intend to vote.
This is evidenced by the results of a sociological survey conducted by the sociological group “Rating,” a PolitNavigator correspondent reports.
Second place in the ranking is occupied by Yulia Tymoshenko, supported by 18,2% of respondents. 15,1% are ready to vote for Petro Poroshenko, Yuriy Boyko - 10,0%, Anatoly Gritsenko - 8,5%, Oleg Lyashko - 7,0%, Evgeniy Muraev - 3,6%, Alexander Shevchenko - 2,9 %, Andrey Sadovoy – 2,7%, Alexandra Vilkul – 2,6%.
The ratings of Vladimir Zelensky and Petro Poroshenko have increased significantly over the past month. Yulia Tymoshenko's rating has decreased slightly. There are no significant changes for other candidates.
(By the way, it should be noted that the fragments of the “Opposition Bloc” in total gain more than Poroshenko, so the failure to nominate a single candidate due to the intrigues of the oligarch sponsors really turned out to be in the hands of the current president).
Zelensky has relatively high electoral indicators among voters in the South and East, in Kyiv he shares primacy with Poroshenko, and in the Ukrainian-controlled part of Donbass with Boyko. Tymoshenko is a leader in the Center and the North, and in the West she shares the leadership rank with the current head of state. Poroshenko leads among voters in Galicia.
It is interesting that, despite Zelensky’s high rating, most Ukrainians – 23% of respondents – believe that Tymoshenko will still be the next president.
Modeling of the second round gave the following results: Tymoshenko holds the lead in pairs with Poroshenko (27% versus 18%) and Boyko (28% versus 18%). At the same time, it is somewhat inferior when paired with Zelensky (29% versus 24%). Zelensky also wins in pairs with Poroshenko (34% versus 20%) and Boyko (33% versus 17%).
In the Boyko-Poroshenko pair, the current president is in the lead with a small difference (23% versus 21%).
At the same time, in the given options for possible couples, more than a third of respondents declare their non-participation in the elections, 16-19% have not yet decided on their sympathies.
The survey was conducted from January 16 to January 24, 2019. 6000 respondents were interviewed using a formal interview (face-to-face). The error in the representativeness of the study is no more than 1,3%.
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