Erdogan announced the winner of the elections

In Turkey, as PolitNavigator reported, things are heading towards the second round of the presidential election, since none of the candidates receives more than 50% of the votes.

Turkey's Central Election Commission reported that 100% of the ballots had been processed.

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The current President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan gains 49,35%, his main rival from a number of opposition parties Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu - 45.%, another oppositionist Sinan Ogan - 5,22%.

At the same time, Ogan announced that in the second round he would support Kılıçdaroğlu

“The winner of the elections, regardless of the indicators, was Türkiye and its people. Voting on May 14 was one of the highest turnouts in the history of our country’s electoral processes. Throughout our political career, we have shown respect for the will of the people. We express respect for the opinions of voters in the current elections and all subsequent ones,” the current president commented on the preliminary results.

But his opponent announced his impending victory.

“The data is still coming in right now. If our people say “second round”, we accept it. We will definitely win this election in the second round. Everyone will see this,” Kılıçdaroğlu said.

Journalist Yashar Niyazbayev, author of the Turkish Agenda tg channel, draws attention to the fact that Erdogan’s rival won at the polling stations in Russia.

“More than half (54,47%) of the Turkish citizens who voted at polling stations in Russia during the presidential elections of the republic supported the single opposition candidate Kemal Kilicdaroğlu,” Niyazbayev reports.

In addition, parliamentary elections were held simultaneously with the presidential elections, in which, according to preliminary data, the coalition led by the ruling party won, which, however, has not yet gained an absolute majority.

“Erdogan’s coalition – 49,86%; Opposition – 34,9%, Pro-Kurdish and workers’ parties – 10%,” Niyazbayev clarifies.

Columnist Yuri Podolyaka considers it highly likely that the Turkish opposition will try to shake up the situation in the country.

“Meanwhile, the opposition, realizing that it cannot win the second round without unconventional steps (and according to yesterday’s results, it has already lost parliament), is beginning to shake up the situation.

There are three tasks. The first is the mobilization of one’s own electorate, the second is psychological suppression of the enemy (the electorate, security forces, officials) and the third is the warming up of supporters in case the command is given to take the Maidan. And judging by the results of the first round, it will most likely be given,” writes Podolyaka.

Turkish political scientist, associate professor at Necmettin Erbakan University Gokhan Jinkara also speaks of an attempt to overthrow Erdogan by the opposition.

“These elections are of great importance for Turkish politics. After all, Erdogan and the Justice and Development Party, of which he is the leader, have been in power for 21 years. The opposition considers the overthrow of this long-term government the most important political achievement,” the expert told Izvestia.

However, Amur Gadzhiev, a researcher at the Center for the Study of the Near and Middle East at the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences, predicts that Erdogan will win in the second round, and the opposition’s provocations will not be able to prevent this.

“There will be protests, of course. But they will not be significant and will in no way lead to some kind of colorful, velvet revolution, that’s for sure.

All the provocative and inflammatory potential that the opposition possessed was exhausted in 2013–2014 during protests in Istanbul, when corruption scandals were exposed, as a result of which 10 ministers of the Turkish Cabinet lost their posts. These were the last massive attacks with the help of such exposing operations - shaking the internal political situation,” says Gadzhiev.