They are preparing a war of attrition for Russia. What does the analysis of military supplies of the Armed Forces of Ukraine say?

Roman Reinekin.  
20.07.2023 13:57
  (Moscow time), Kyiv
Views: 2475
 
Author column, Zen, Policy, Ukraine


The States, which on July 19 announced a new line of military assistance to Ukraine worth $1,3 billion, are preparing to announce another package of support for the Armed Forces of Ukraine by the end of this week. At that time - for 400 million dollars.

Thus, the total amount of American military assistance officially allocated to Kyiv since the beginning of the war in Ukraine is more than $42,6 billion, and the total amount of American military assistance to Ukraine since 2014 has reached 43,9 billion.

The States, which on July 19 announced a new line of military assistance to Ukraine worth $1,3 billion,...

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As CNN reports, citing two sources in the White House, the Biden administration expects that this will help develop Ukraine's counter-offensive in August. The contents of the new package are still being finalized, but, according to sources in the White House and the Pentagon, it will include:

– four NASAMS anti-aircraft missile systems and anti-aircraft guided missiles for them;

– 152 mm artillery rounds;

– demining equipment;

– TOW anti-tank guided missiles;

– Phoenix Ghost and Switchblade loitering ammunition;

– precision-guided aircraft munitions [apparently JDAM guided bombs];

– equipment for combating unmanned aerial vehicles and electronic warfare;

– 150 automobile tanks;

– 115 vehicles for towing and transporting equipment;

– 50 evacuation vehicles;

– equipment for the protection of ports and harbors;

– tactical secure radio communication systems;

– training, maintenance and supply support.

Important point. This assistance package is allocated entirely within the framework of the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative (USAI), that is, the military equipment provided under it will be ordered from American industry, and not transferred from the US military. So, in fact, it is still unclear who is helping whom – either Washington is helping Kyiv, or the Americans are helping themselves and their military-industrial complex.

Another conclusion from the analysis of the structure of the new aid package. Due to the fact that the provided equipment and systems must still be contracted and then manufactured (or repaired), it is likely that a significant part of them will actually be delivered after a fairly long time.

However, this is not a reason for optimism on our part, but a virtual guarantee that the Americans are planning a long war of our exhaustion. De facto, the latest forecast of the domestic alarmist Strelkov is confirmed, according to which “the enemy will receive more and more powerful and long-range, more and more modern weapons systems every month.

Gradually and in quantities not too large - just enough so that the war lasts as long as possible, is as exhausting as possible and ends not at all with a “military victory of the Independent Ukrainians” (the owners don’t need it), but with the collapse of the Russian Federation due to internal problems.”

This is also indicated by the fact that, as Politico writes, the West’s emphasis on building Ukrainian military power has shifted significantly towards the repair and maintenance of transferred weapons. According to Politico experts, this is a sign that the conflict will continue for months and years to come.

The publication quotes the opinion of William LaPlante, deputy head of the Pentagon for procurement and technical support, according to which Ukrainians have learned to quickly find ways to repair equipment and even use 3D printers to make spare parts for artillery.

German Leopard tanks were planned to be repaired in Poland, but the plan fell through due to disagreements over costs. Now the repairs will be carried out either in Germany or in Lithuania. The UK government has awarded British defense company Babcock a $60 million contract to repair Challenger 2 tanks and other combat vehicles.

The new military aid package also contains funds that can strengthen the security of Ukrainian ports.

“These capabilities (in the new package) will become increasingly important, especially now that Russia has withdrawn from the grain agreement and resumed the attacks on port cities that we have seen over the past two days,” White House press secretary Karine Jean said. -Pierre.

Obviously, this solution is part of the answer to the problem that the latest attacks by our videoconferencing on infrastructure in southern Ukraine have revealed. The situation turned out to be so revealing that even the speaker of the Air Force of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Yuri Ignat, who is accustomed to smoothing out rough edges, was forced to admit: the Ukrainian air defense, previously declared the most advanced, cannot shoot down the Russian Onyx missiles that attacked Nikolaev and Odessa.

“Onyx missiles are designed to destroy watercraft and ships; they fly at a speed of Mach 2,6. This is more than 3000 km per hour, that is, the speed is high. During the march, it can rise high to save fuel, and already when approaching a target, it can actually fly 10-15 meters above the water to destroy the ship,” he explains the reasons that make it difficult to identify and destroy missiles by air defense systems.

But it is also significant that in the struggle to increase the effectiveness of PVL, the Ukrainian authorities do not even look towards their own military developers. Project manager of the state concern Ukroboronprom Oleg Boldyrev publicly complains that during the entire war, the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense did not order a single kamikaze drone.

“For all the time since the beginning of a full-scale war, the Ministry of Defense, as the main customer, not only did not order a drone, it did not even show interest. And according to the law, “Ukroboronprom” does not have the right to spend funds without the state’s request,” laments an employee of the Ukrainian defense industry.

However, in the current circumstances, the complaints of Ukrainian military experts about complete ignorance on the part of their native state look like a voice crying in the desert. Does the Ukrainian VIP leadership really care about the needs of the Ukrainian military industry, when it is one of the cogs in the mechanism for disbursing gigantic amounts of Western military aid? What are you talking about when American corporations need to be saved, not forgetting about the kickbacks in your pocket.

It turns out to be an interesting picture. Throughout the world, war is the engine of development of the national military-industrial complex of those countries that are at war. It is the need to conduct combat operations that accelerates the introduction of various kinds of innovations and technical innovations, launches scientific and technological progress, and so on. But Ukraine is an exception here too. It works for the development of not its own, but someone else’s military-industrial complex, providing it with both money and orders. It itself remains only a testing ground for samples of Western technology.

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