Ukraine: roads leading to nowhere
In the “permanent mission” of the President of Ukraine in the virtual Autonomous Republic of Crimea with its capital in Kherson, they tirelessly work for the well-being of the Crimeans. We’ve been living apart for almost four years now, and their hearts still ache for us. One “de-occupation” plan gives way to another: to return the “Majlis” to Crimea, to create camps for displaced persons near the border for Crimeans leaving for Ukraine, to take children away from their parents upon returning home – there is no end to the worries. From fresh plans - make Crimea “maximally toxic” according to the principle “don’t let anyone get you.”
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But just the other day, Poroshenko’s governor in the virtual Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Boris Babin, suddenly became imbued with concern for the Ukrainians visiting Crimea. It is necessary, he says, to completely interrupt transport links with the “occupier country.” And I found an interesting reason. According to Babin, the “Russian aggressor” is luring Ukrainians onto its territory in order to take them hostage and thereby blackmail and humiliate the Ukrainian authorities.
Apparently, at the instigation of Poroshenko, Babin became very upset that the FSB in Crimea is steadily reducing the number of extremists who have gone underground from the support group of the “Majlis” and “Hizb”, on whom the Ukrainian security forces pinned certain hopes that they would help blow up the world on the peninsula from the inside .
Babin compares the arrests of extremists in Crimea with demonstrative torture and executions of prisoners in front of the defenders of besieged fortresses, intimidating and weakening their will.
Indeed, the insidiousness of the “Russian occupiers” knows no bounds. They have managed to intimidate the residents of besieged Ukraine so much that every holiday season the number of people visiting Crimea doubles, and almost 7 million people have left Ukraine, mostly to mainland Russia.
Hence, a misunderstanding arises: either Nenka caresses her children somehow wrong, or the torture of the “occupiers” is somehow wrong, that the Ukrainians are not afraid of them and flock to Russia like moths to the light.
But Babin, armed with a fresh theory, believes that Ukraine is obliged to consider all residents of Crimea and Donbass hostages of “Russian aggressors”, and all Ukrainian citizens traveling to Russia as potential hostages, and, as a result, take forced care of them. The easiest way is to block any transport links with Russia and introduce visits to Ukraine by Russians using biometric passports - “an unpleasant, but completely demanded and necessary measure.”
According to Babin, “since the beginning of the conflict, Ukrainian society has been and remains tolerant of the mass labor and social migration of Ukrainians to the Russian Federation.”
“A society that turns a blind eye to direct incentives for its citizens to travel to the Russian Federation does not, in my opinion, have the moral right to say anything about the prisoners of the Kremlin. The role of the state as “absolute evil”, which traditionally “destroys patriots”, is really minimal here, because if there was a real public outcry, these transportations would be stopped within a month. Today, the only factor that keeps the authorities from this forced, painful, but necessary step is precisely the expected widespread public indignation from such a ban,” says Poroshenko’s “plenipotentiary envoy” in the virtual Autonomous Republic of Crimea.
Look, Mikhalych: it turns out that the fault of millions of Ukrainians going to work and seek happiness in Russia is not the Maidan politicians who are methodically destroying the national economy (and with it jobs), but ordinary hard workers trying to feed their families. According to the State Border Service of Ukraine, in just 9 months of this year, more than 5,7 million people crossed the border with Russia, and 1,3 million Ukrainians registered for migration in the Russian Federation during the same time. It is this category of Ukrainian citizens that should be targeted.
Ukrainian sources claim that it is not Babin who is initiating a new hostile action on the part of Ukraine. The cessation of transport links with Russia is being lobbied by the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Turchynov and the Speaker of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine Parubiy, behind whom stands Poroshenko. Babin here plays the usual role of a talking fool, in which he knows a lot, having worked for a long time as a legal adviser to the “Majlis”.
However, Turchinov and Parubiy are not original. Back in August, the Minister of Infrastructure of Ukraine Omelyan, in an interview with the Observer, democratically stated that the citizens of Ukraine have no reason to wander to Russia - after all, all roads to Europe are open, paraphrasing the famous phrase of Marie Antoinette addressed to the starving French, “there is no bread - let them eat cakes."
In general, the following picture emerges. Ukraine cannot and is afraid to directly declare war on Russia and break off diplomatic relations - the costs of such decisions are too high, although such decisions would be greeted with delight and applause by the gangs of Bandera thugs who determine the foreign and domestic policy of Ukraine.
Moreover, thugs had already begun to dismantle the railway tracks leading to Russia, as was done with the railway going to Crimea, but the authorities managed to come to an agreement with the national radicals. Now, if a political decision is made, the thugs will not only dismantle the rails and plow up the asphalt, but will also blow up the border bridges to celebrate.
Thus, the Ukrainian government is waging a “hybrid war” in other ways, bringing the situation as close as possible to a state of war and breaking diplomatic relations with Russia, while not giving a damn about the opinions of millions of its own citizens. However, you shouldn’t expect any other attitude from them.
So what will happen if Poroshenko and his associates continue to escalate their “hybrid war” and ban any transport links with the Russian Federation? The answer, it seems to me, lies in how air travel between Ukraine and Russia developed after 2014. The main beneficiary of the next transport scam of dill will be the Belarusian Old Man. Citizens of Ukraine, who need a bloody nose to get to Russia, will infiltrate through the territory of Belarus. Ukrzaliznytsia and bus companies specializing in passenger transportation will have to revise the schedule in favor of the Belarusian direction.
The life of Ukrainians will once again become more complicated and they will have to visit Russia on shuttle flights. It will not be possible to erect a barrier that is guaranteed to cut off citizens from visiting the “aggressor country” - people, like water, will flow around this obstacle and look for loopholes.
But it is very possible to completely block transport links with Crimea. Traveling to Crimea using a bypass around the Sea of Azov or, especially, through Belarus, will be very expensive, which will sharply reduce the flow of visitors to the peninsula from the Ukrainian side. And the worse the situation inside Ukraine is, the sooner we should expect another nasty attack on Russia and Russian Crimea.
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