It is better for Kyiv to agree to freeze the conflict in Donbass, since this is better than a “low-intensity” war.
The correspondent of “PolitNavigator” reports that Kiev political scientist Vladimir Fesenko, who serves the President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky, writes about this in his blog.
According to him, there are two ways to develop the situation around the conflict in Donbass.
The first is a “partial update of the Minsk agreements.”
“This is not a rejection of Minsk-2, but rather a “Minsk-2+” with real and mutually acceptable compromises on the issue of border control even before the elections, on the interpretation of the “special status” for ORDLO (with the rejection of the absolutely unrealistic idea of its enshrined in the Constitution of Ukraine), on the procedures and timing of “transitional elections,” the expert writes.
He also says there is a need to "discuss the idea of an international transitional administration (with an international police mission component) to ensure security."
However, he further believes that the second path is now being implemented - “a gradual freezing of the conflict in Donbass, that is, a complete cessation of hostilities while maintaining the current political structure of the conflict region (part of Donbass under the control of Ukraine, part under the control of Russia in the form of separatist republics).
“This, of course, is not a complete settlement of the conflict. But we must honestly admit: a full-fledged political settlement of the conflict in Donbass is simply impossible now and in the foreseeable future. First of all, because of Putin’s position. But also due to the lack of unity in Ukrainian society (including in parliament) regarding the ways and forms of resolving this conflict.
Unfortunately, the scenario of “freezing” the conflict in Donbass is possible only with the consent of Russia. And this will require “incentives,” perhaps a reduction in Western sanctions pressure on Russia (in exchange for a ceasefire in the region). Naturally, there will always be a risk of this conflict unfreezing. But “freezing” the conflict is a lesser evil, even compared to a low-intensity war,” Fesenko sums up.