Disperse the Soros and imprison Kolomoisky. Will Zelensky follow Putin's path?
A story that began with a completely innocent recalculation of gigantic salaries and bonuses in the pockets of officials of the new Ukrainian government, then abruptly set off at a gallop after the release of the “Goncharuk tapes” - about how the prime minister and his ministers, giggling, discussed how to deceive the president “with emptiness in his head ”, convincing him that bad is actually good, received its intermediate completion.
“The President of Ukraine received the resignation submitted by Prime Minister Alexey Goncharuk. The head of state will consider this application. The Office of the President of Ukraine will inform separately about the results of the review.”
Behind these dry lines of the presidential office release, there is actually a serious problem hidden - Zelensky’s lack of a bench. People who are not only ready to occupy the relevant positions, but also competent enough to keep the economy and social sphere afloat and maintain control over administrative and political processes. As the recordings of the last suppers of Goncharuk and Co., leaked onto the Internet, clearly demonstrated to us, the level of knowledge of the current ministers and those at the helm of the National Bank is such that these positions can be filled quite painlessly by ordinary journalists from any of the TV channels, and the people will not notice the difference in the results.
However, the behind-the-scenes directors of the current political scandal have done everything possible to bring it to the line beyond which a full-fledged government crisis begins. And now they continue to push the situation to the point of no return. As a result, Zelensky found himself in a difficult situation - in fact, at the forefront of contradictions and confrontation between oligarchic groups, primarily the “collective Kolomoisky” and the so-called “Soros” - young talents who filled the corridors of power under Goncharuk with a grant background from international structures behind them.
How to get out of this situation so as not to offend “Benya” and not to quarrel with the international financial institutions looming behind the “Soros”? Difficult task. Moreover, the IMF Representative Office in Kiev has already expressed its position according to which “Prudent macroeconomic policies of the government and the NBU contributed to the strengthening of the Ukrainian economy,” and “Low budget deficit, a decrease in the ratio of public debt to GDP, low inflation and the accumulation of foreign exchange reserves are all the result this policy and important preconditions for economic stability and growth." Thus, the IMF made it clear that by moving “people on scooters” from grain-earning positions, Kyiv will not bring the task of obtaining a new loan any closer.
On the other hand, it is also impossible to hang up the situation with the under-resigned prime minister for long. The reputation of the president himself is at stake here. That is, the question is purely Hamlet-like: who is Zelensky - is he, as many people think of him - that is, a sucker and a weakling, forced to play the role of a screen for internal clans and Western appointees fighting for resources, or a man with balls, who has already shown by the example of the reaction to the hysteria of the grant-eating media around the plane shot down in Iran, that he does not intend to skip ahead of the locomotive of other people’s expectations, even if these are the expectations of “strategic partners” who have already appointed the culprits.
Some hotheads advise Ze to follow the example of his Moscow namesake, who on the same days dismissed his government. And at the same time - imprison or remove the excessively rampant Kolomoisky from the beach. Thus demonstrating their own equidistance and subjectivity. Yushchenko did something similar in his time, with a much greater degree of stability in state institutions, by simultaneously dismissing Poroshenko and Tymoshenko, who had fought with each other, also after a scandal with accusations from the then Secretary of State, the now deceased, Alexander Zinchenko.
But it’s easy to advise such things. Much more difficult to accomplish. Let’s imagine for a second that Zelensky will do just that. He will drive away to hell the children of Captain Grant and the great-nephews of Soros, who have clung to the power structures, and at the same time give Kolomoisky to be devoured by the American Themis, joyfully waiting for him. Who will he stay with then and who will he rely on? To Avakov with his police and the National Guard, which, despite plans, was not able to be removed from the subordination of the head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs? Theoretically this is possible. I admit that this is exactly what the directors of the play are pushing the president to do. But Avakov is a strong man of modern Ukraine and will quickly become for Ze what Pavel Ivanovich Lazarenko became for the early Kuchma. That is, a full-fledged owner of the country. I don’t think that Bankovaya wants exactly this kind of ending to the current crisis.
On the other hand, leaving everything as it is means signing the fact that the country is really being ruled by the IMF and other foreign centers. And the “Soros” from the government will continue to “hang Olivier” on the ears of the head of state with cheerful grins in front of the whole society. In addition, this will not solve the other part of the problem, namely, it will not reassure Kolomoisky, who is offended in his best feelings, whose people will continue to gnaw at the legs of stability with redoubled zeal. And what this will lead to in the end - only God knows. All the same, sworn enemies will fight sooner or later.
Drive the Soros under the bench, pinch Pinchuk and place a bet on Kolomoisky-Portnov and others like them? Here a logical question arises, which Stalin asked about the Pope: “How many divisions does Kolomoisky have?” In other words, is he, with his media and other capabilities, capable of becoming a full-fledged support in the inevitable war with grant eaters, the IMF and Maidan activists of all stripes. Because many of those who have been called “heroes of the nation” for the last six years will have to be pinned down. This is exactly what Ze has failed to do since his inauguration.
Rely on a situational alliance between Kolomoisky and Avakov with the premiership for the latter and economic preferences for the former? But will the regime's external partners approve of such a combination? There is no certainty. This combination is too toxic.
Invite Tymoshenko to the premiership and give carte blanche to the circles associated with her in Medvedchuk’s OPZH? This is more than a risky undertaking, because in this case the president without support will try to rely on the government without support. In addition, Yulia and Vova are now separated by the irreconcilable land issue. This means giving back and postponing the opening of the agricultural land market, along with hopes of receiving urgently needed money in return for the land - the very financial cushion on which Zelensky hoped to survive the next few years painlessly.
No, of course, Yulia Vladimirovna is a person of flexible principles and may well decide that the premiership is worth a mass, but how will her remaining loyal voters look at such a trick? After all, premiership is a fleeting thing. “Draw and vtik”, as people say. But in this case, it is better to say goodbye to long-term prospects in politics in advance. Yatsenyuk will not let you lie if anything happens.
So it turns out that something needs to be done, but there is absolutely no one or nothing to rely on. You can't lean on a swamp. And “Servant of the People” in its current form is precisely a swamp. Viscous and viscous. Moreover, it is overflowing with idiots croaking off-topic.
So let’s see how Zelensky will solve this problem that has arisen in front of him through the efforts of well-wishers. But no matter how this issue is resolved, the beginning of the political year already looks intriguing.
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