Directions of the Ukrainian “offensive”. What is Kyiv counting on?

The transfer of combat positions in Bakhmut from the Wagner PMC to units of the Russian Ministry of Defense caused a kind of information storm. Will units of the official army be able to fight no less effectively than battle-hardened stormtroopers?

Ukrainian propaganda also adds fuel to the fire - they say that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are already “occupying key heights around Bakhmut.”

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Indeed, the activity of the Ukrainian Armed Forces around Bakhmut has increased in recent days. Dill are probing the defenses of the Russian army. Ukrainian leaders need to indulge the expectations of their radical electorate, to whom they promised an “offensive” and “a cup of kava on the Yalta embankment.”

And, of course, somehow justify the material investments of their Western sponsors. In this sense, the attempts of the disguised puppets of the Ukrainian Main Intelligence Directorate from “RDK” and “LSR” are, naturally, PR and attempts to divert attention from the main operational direction of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

And there can be four such directions. The southern ones - Kinburskaya Spit in the Kherson region and Berdyansk-Melitopol in Zaporozhye region are, of course, tempting for dill. But there are Russian troops there, and these troops work efficiently.

This is not talked about enough in the media, but the Russian Armed Forces regularly hit weapons depots and equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which the Ukrainians are moving to the south. And, most importantly, in the event of a large-scale “offensive” of dill, our battle formations will be supported by aviation and missile forces from Crimea. Even in the event of his incredible success (paid for with a lot of blood), the enemy will simply run into the Crimean isthmuses. And ours will hammer him from the flanks.

North of Bakhmut the situation is similar. There are more than enough of our troops in the Svatovo-Kremennaya-Lisichansk area. Attempts by dill to break through at least somewhere regularly end in meaningless losses. And even if the enemy even captured the Lisichansk-Severodonetsk agglomeration - what next? Next would be a difficult and bloody advance towards Lugansk. More than 100 kilometers of fighting against our Lugansk group and the disappointing prospect of crossing the Seversky Donets.

_{But south of Donetsk, in the direction of Ugledar-Volnovakha-Mariupol, it’s a different matter. Here you don’t even need to take Mariupol itself. It would be a great success for the Ukrainian Armed Forces to simply cut the N-20 highway. In the Volnovakha area, for example. Or just take it under fire control.}

In order to cross the “land corridor” to Crimea, the dill simply need to advance 20-25 kilometers. This will allow them to keep their flanks relatively safe and the possibility of bringing in reinforcements. Which the Ukrainian Armed Forces can bring to the Ugledar area both from Dnepropetrovsk and from the north, from Bakhmut. A gap in the logistics of our army between the LDPR and the South would be a great success for the enemy. That is why today they are hitting Volnovakha and attacking our units “end-to-end”.

We must understand that Russophobes count primarily on propaganda success. The condition for their victory is the demoralization of our army and state. Therefore, they will make breakthroughs in those places where it can be used in the media.

To demoralize the Russian army, our population and, ideally, destabilize inside Russia. Hence the demonstrations in the border regions of the Belgorod and Bryansk regions. Missile strikes on our rear targets. Terror and murder. Attempt to seize the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant. And only then, a large-scale “offensive”, accompanied by high-precision artillery strikes and a wave of drones.

They expect our army to flee. At least in one or two main directions. What measures we should take, and what measures are already being taken, will be discussed in our next publications.